Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 40 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
17 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.
This alert expired on 16 September 2026 at 01:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 5th strongest of the 67 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 9 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 15 at 7:48PM CDT until September 15 at 8:45PM CDT by NWS Lubbock TX
Urban PEI: 269,961 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- August 1, 2026 · score 43 · 6.8 km
- June 16, 2026 · score 43 · 11.9 km
- May 22, 2026 · score 67 · 14.9 km
How we know
3 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.
Our own score for this event is 49 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | High |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 49 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.90/1 |
| Coordinates | 33.8021, -101.9588 |
| Nearest City | Lubbock (26 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 270.0K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-16T00:48:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.1bf4ec78242963a8118b372049a7ce0c7d4412b6.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-16T00:48:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-09-16T00:52:28.650Z. Material modification: 2026-09-16T01:03:28.191Z.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
2026-09-16T01:03:28.191Z · data_change
Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.
2026-09-16T00:58:03.669Z · data_change
Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Hale, TX; Lubbock, TX; Lamb, TX |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 15 at 7:48PM CDT until September 15 at 8:45PM CDT by NWS Lubbock TX |
| Expires | 2026-09-15T20:45:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Lubbock TX |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 4 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1bf4ec78242963a8118b372049a7ce0c7d4412b6.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e0a7443f4be66e43b33c04f686a4b6de173f0d62.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.78f87b8291beec9f3bb1ee2f993785fb41206045.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.954dd5f6c42ef7f98b9b50293b2634d0503c8c96.001.1"] |
| Spc ReportType | hail |
| Spc Speed | 100 |
| Spc Location | 4 E Reese Center |
| Spc County | Lubbock |
| Spc State | TX |
| Spc Comments | Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.). (LUB) |
| Iem TypeSummary | G |
| Iem Magnitude | 64 |
| Iem Unit | MPH |
| Iem City | 6 W Lubbock |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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